kickaha: (Default)
kickaha ([personal profile] kickaha) wrote2008-06-02 02:15 pm

When does admirable tenacity become... something else?

Okay, so now that the FL and MI issues have been taken care of... sort of...

Clinton picked up 68% of Puerto Rico. (With ~10% voter turnout. Ouch.)

Assume she gets a similar 30 point lead over Obama in the remaining two primaries tomorrow (Montana and S Dakota) - it's not unexpected, these are the same rural white areas that she's done very well in.

Assume further that she gets *80%* of the remaining superdelegates.

Obama still wins the nomination.

In fact, he only needs 18% of the superdelegates with that scenario.

Heck give her 100% of tomorrow's primaries, and Obama needs only 23% to win.

Stick a fork in the fat lady, the barn gate has spilled milk.

Short of a nasty coup at the convention (which I wouldn't find surprising in the least bit), this thing is over. There's no reasonable way that Clinton can get the nomination at this point without permanently destroying her political clout, legacy, and career... and party. (Although I'm not sure that last one is on her radar, to be honest.)

At this point, it's all about saving face.

[identity profile] babbleon1.livejournal.com 2008-06-02 06:37 pm (UTC)(link)
Or, about playing for veep. Rumor is that Bill has mentioned it...

[identity profile] georgmi.livejournal.com 2008-06-02 07:13 pm (UTC)(link)
At this point, all she *can* do is stay in, and hope that something happens to convince the superdelegates that Obama's not electable. You know, like if somebody finds proof that Obama was a member of the KKK in his college days.

Hey, could happen.

I agree with you that the fate of the party nowhere impinges on her consciousness, and I wonder who steps into the vacuum if the Dems fall apart? Most of the third parties that are big enough to get any kind of consistent notice tend to the right of the spectrum.

She could have him assassinated.

[identity profile] sfeldon.livejournal.com 2008-06-02 07:52 pm (UTC)(link)
I'm just sayin'.

[identity profile] badger.livejournal.com 2008-06-02 08:21 pm (UTC)(link)
"A man's got to know his limitations. - "Dirty" Harry Callahan - Magnum Force

[identity profile] code-slave.livejournal.com 2008-06-06 01:49 pm (UTC)(link)
Stick a fork in the fat lady, the barn gate has spilled milk.

Snort!!

Yer funny!
:-)