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[personal profile] kickaha
Apple just passed Wal-Mart to become the #1 one seller of music in the US. Not the #1 seller of digital downloads, the #1 seller of *all music in the country regardless of format*.

Think about that for a second. These aren't CDs, they're digital downloads. Most are DRM'd, all are lossy. The market has spoken, and in general it prefers convenience over highest possible quality. (Wow, there's a shock no one could have predicted.) Burning to CD-R for back up is always an option, so a physical copy can be made instead of bought.

Obviously, this doesn't bode well for CDs - also digital, the differences between a CD and a 256kbps AAC file are not noticeable to most people on most equipment. So, there's basically no reason for most people to get a CD anymore, unless you really, really want liner notes. (And even those are starting to pop up with downloads.)

I've seen a number of pundits declaring this the death of physical music media, but then there's this uptick in LP sales, and titles offered... and I have a notion.

An LP offers a completely different type of signal fidelity and reproduction than does either a CD or a download, both of which are digital. As an analog signal, an LP has much better adherence to the original source. The downsides are: size, fragility, impermanence after repeated playbacks, and a lack of an easy equivalent to ripping for playback on the ubiquitous digital portable devices.

We've come a long way in materials technology since vinyl, but LPs haven't. What about a CD-sized, protective-encased disc that has *analog* grooves microscopically encoded, and read by laser? Yeah, I know this is basically exactly what the old LaserDisc was, but again, we can do better. Think of it this way - a cheap optical disc that carries a highest-fidelity analog signal, and offers something no digital download can. It has a differentiating feature unique to the medium, something CDs don't.

Hell, call it a High Density LP and ride that HD branding wave, I don't care.

If I could get *that* at $15 an album, I'd bite, whereas I just don't see the need to buy CDs anymore. (I still do from time to time, but it's rare, and getting more so.)

Any of the various music folks reading this care to comment? :)

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 06:36 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kickaha.livejournal.com
Bzzt, I know about that - but every computer with a CD drive can rip an audio CD. Not every LP player can rip. You go tell the guy with the $800 turntable that all he needs to do is go by a *$99* unit to rip, he'll laugh at you. The quality of the turntable determines the quality of the digital copy, and for those for whom LPs are preferred, they're preferred for fidelity.

That's what I mean by a lack of easy equivalent of ripping a CD. Anyone can do the latter, and in most cases produce a copy that is all but indistinguishable from the original. Not so with LPs unless you shoot for the very high end.

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 07:00 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] georgmi.livejournal.com
Yeah, granted--audiophilia is not my bag.

But to go back to your and [livejournal.com profile] franktheavenger's discussion re: Apple and the noncustomizable UI, I suspect that persons who prefer LP fidelity are an even smaller niche market than the tech-savvy users Apple is ignoring. And the segment of that niche that actually *wants* to convert their LP tracks to digital has to be minuscule to the point of effective nonexistence. Not much chance of higher-quality USB turntables ever appearing. Let alone the development of an entirely new storage format and the technology to play it.

None of which refutes your original point, of course. But far be it from me to argue a relevant point I can't win when an irrelevant one will do. :)

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 07:28 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] franktheavenger.livejournal.com
Indeed, I was going to make the same point; the guy that has an $800 turntable isn't going to go digital, ever. So fuck him. :p

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 07:40 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kickaha.livejournal.com
LOL True, true...

Point taken, but I was stating that there is an opportunity here to address the issues surrounding LPs while preserving the trait that is unique to the marketplace. I don't think it would ever be huge, or come close to threatening online distribution - but I think it would have a shot at replacing the physical CD.

The vast majority of those who buy CDs will move to online, as bandwidth becomes cheaper, and companies offer lossless or near-lossless versions, is my bet. CDs just don't offer much anymore over downloads.

LPs still have a unique trait, but it's the limitations of the physical medium itself that makes them so &*(%@$ persnickety. So approach it as an engineering problem, and there's a slot left for physical media - just not physical *digital* media.

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 08:11 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] georgmi.livejournal.com
Yeah, my argument remains that it isn't a big enough opportunity to offset the R&D costs.

And as those analog audiophiles continue to die of old age, it only gets smaller.

"That's not the point," you'll say, justifiably.

"That's the only point that matters", I'll say, also justifiably.

And we will iterate on that until the next shiny thing catches our attention.

So I'll boil my response down to its essence--Potentially neat idea. Not gonna happen. :)

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 08:17 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kickaha.livejournal.com
Oh, I didn't say it was going to happen, or even that I thought it likely - only pointing out that physical media may not be as dead as physical *digital* media, which is all most people seem to be concentrating on.

Just you wait, in another 20 years, the retro wheel will come around again, and people will be nostalgic for all the analog goodness, but in those "neat old shiny silver discs". :D

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 08:46 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] georgmi.livejournal.com
Yes, I confidently expect to be waving my cane from my rocking chair on my porch, shouting to my grandkids that they will never understand true music until they've heard recordings of it played by people, on instruments.

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 09:05 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kickaha.livejournal.com
"Grandpa, what are people?"

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 09:10 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] georgmi.livejournal.com
"They're kind of like avatars, but they persist when the power goes out."

(no subject)

Date: 2008-04-03 09:26 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] georgmi.livejournal.com
You thought I didn't know, didn't you? :)

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