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[personal profile] kickaha
Finally finished up a side project I've been working on. In 1999, a Business dissertation from Georgia Tech described a really well done study on the risk factors for software engineering projects. It covered a wide gamut of issues, including things like user buy-in, upper management support, team dynamics, turnover, complexity of the application, etc. *Extremely* well done study that had a nicely large sample pool.

Only one problem.

Project complexity correlated the lowest of any of the factors to project success. .29 to be exact.

This was... stunning. Not to mention utterly at odds with everything from my own experiences and most engineering oriented literature produced in the last 30 years.

My advisor responded with "Well what do you expect? They're a bunch of management wonks who don't get the technical side." While true, I felt that if there truly was a correlation at all (which there should be), that it would come out in the final data regardless of the respondents' *intent*.

So I re-analyzed it from an engineer's point of view, and regrouped the data according to technical guidelines as well as the business oriented divisions already in the paper, and then a second-order grouping was formed off of the initial technical ones.

New correlation? 0.86.

*And the model fits the data more precisely.*


Yay me.

Citation

Date: 2005-03-31 11:35 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] cspowers.livejournal.com
Can you point us to the study? As a software engineer, I'd like to read it.

Re: Citation

Date: 2005-03-31 02:36 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ginkgo.livejournal.com
I believe that this is her dissertation:

Linda Wallace, “The Development of an Instrument to Measure Software Project Risk,” 1999. I haven't been able to find it on the web. K has been using an old-school, hard-bound copy.

The ACM also has a link to one of her articles: http://portal.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=975819&jmp=cit&coll=portal&dl=ACM

Re: Citation

Date: 2005-03-31 03:26 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kickaha.livejournal.com
Yup, that's it.

*Other* than the technical aspects, it is extremely well done, and has some interesting insights. It's a good solid mess o' data, I just had an issue with how it was grouped. Wallace didn't do anything wrong, per se, she just didn't have the background to identify which elements had hidden technical components.

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